The new Punabantu Equation of Exchange*

This is a basic introduction to the new Punabantu Equation of Exchange which supersedes the Irving Fisher Equation of Exchange. The new Punabantu Equation of Exchange demonstrates how Split Velocity is able to increase GDP at constant price by introducing additional “virtual” (split) velocities that allow money to act as a stimulus without inflation due to variances in velocity. This process facilitates the doubling of GDP in one year at constant price by recovering losses being induced in the economy by the defective CFI.

[*Note that these passages are extracted from the book the Greater Poverty and Wealth of Nations (2010) © All Rights reserved, as prescribed by this copyrighted proprietary work and intellectual property.]

Let us use Irving Fisher’s Equation of Exchange as one method to explain how Operating Level Economics (OLE ) accelerated growth works.

The Fisher Equation is as follows:

MV=PT

This is an identity, Where basically:

M- money supply

V-velocity of money

T-total number of transactions made over a period of time

P- value of money

T in the Fisher Equation is not ordinarily linked to output due to the linear economy’s disposition toward zero growth; therefore an increase in transactions ( as it is with an increase in money supply) in a linear economy will be limited by implosion [subtraction in the CFI] and not necessarily lead to an increase in output. However, in a dynamic economy T, which functions on a different growth principle based on split velocity is equated directly to output and is therefore converted to Y or an index value of the physical volume of output in the economy. Therefore, PY in the equation corresponds with GDP.

The Fisher equation is correct as an identity, however, this identity is incomplete as it leaves out one of the most important factors that determine the productive capacity or performance of money in an economy which in turn directly influences the efficiency of production and the general level of output. This factor is the economic operating system in which money (M), Transactions (T) or Output (Y), Velocity (V) and Price (P) function. The operating system is denoted by the letter (R).

The operating system (R) is the number of transactions or allocations of money per cycle. By not including R in the Fisher Equation monetary and fiscal policy as a means of facilitating economic growth and expansion are severely limited.

The world’s economies today function on one transaction (Y) per cycle, that is, R=1. In other words an economy where Y=24 bn has approximately 24 bn transactions per annum occurring at a pace of 1 transaction per cycle, in this case, the cycle is measured over one year. If the economic system where to change to 2 transactions per cycle, that is, R=2, at constant price then output would be YR or 24×2= 48 bn. In other words over the same period of time, that is, 1 year ceteris paribus, the economy could gain the resources to double in size. Instead of one transaction taking place when expenditure takes place the system can make that routine expenditure automatically perform two or more transactions even though the one active expense and choice was made. For example, when a business pays for capital rather than just one transaction taking place the same value is also automatically paid to labour thus performing two transactions in simultaneously. The system (R) determines the rate or pace of productivity though it is not part of the Fisher Equation.

The fact that R=1 makes the ‘operating system’ an invisible property that is not found in the Fisher Equation. It has not been taken into account when using it to formulate policy on money supply in the same way that an equation where the multiplicative factor is constantly 1 will inevitably ignore the factor’s presence. This ‘invisible force’ and the inability to see or account for it is one of reasons why monetary policy has become increasingly unsuccessful in attempts to catalyse growth in modern economies. R can be made visible on the right hand side of the Fisher Equation showing that the system (R) or number of transactions per cycle, determines how many transactions (Y) will take place over a period of time e.g. 1 year:

The system (R) is a module of efficiency. An increase in T is a consequence of a rise in the efficiency of output as a result of a rise in productive efficiency. In the same way that a car travelling at twice the velocity will cover twice the distance over the same period of time the efficiency of R=2 raises the pace of productivity producing twice the volume of output over the same period of time, that is, 1 year.

Money is like a fuel. The more of it the economy burns to do the same work the less efficiently it is functioning, hence inflation is a result. Similarly, an increase in R which is an increase in efficiency has the inverse effect on money supply. It causes output to increase but money supply to shrink (deflation). The less money needed to create output the more efficient the economy. R affects money supply inversely by increasing the efficiency of money which contracts money supply while it raises  the volume of output (Y) inversely. The influence of the factor R appears on the left side as:

Where R=E

.i.e. VM/E:PTR

The operating system R also affects the velocity of money. When the velocity of money changes it has an interesting effect in that it functions as though there are two economies operating in one space. This occurs as a result of a combined velocity which keeps the velocity of money constant, but working with twice the efficiency. It is based on the system’s dual structure the process which is to be discussed later in this paper.  The factor by which R affects the velocity of money will be denoted as K,  (where K=R).

.i.e. KV(M/E):PTR

However, when the system changes from R=1 to R=2 a money supply deficit is created. There is not enough money in circulation to satisfy the growth in transactions and circulation of goods and services throughout the economy, hence, there arises an inequality seen in the equation above caused by (M/E). When money moves in more than one direction, from one transaction simultaneously performing more than one task, the balance between money supply and productivity must be restored, hence, this adjustment remains within present day monetary policy rules or regulations. The balance is restored by adjusting by S. S is the principle on which split velocity at constant price becomes possible. To do this the fall in money supply (as a result of a change in the system (R) must be increased by R to remain balanced with output. This adjustment at constant price is denoted by S, (where S=R). This last step is significant in that it shows that by changing the system money supply can be turned into a catalyst for growth and development (The stock of money and its behaviour 1-9 provide a more graphic explanation). The final ratio is thus:

The new identity and complete Equation of Exchange, which includes the system in which money functions is as follows:

Where

R – operating system

S – emoney multiplier

E – emoney constrictor

K – virtual velocity

S,E and K are working parts of the operating system dependent on R

In a balanced operating system R=E=K=S

If R=1 in the above equation this reduces it to the original Fisher Equation MV=PT silencing R,E, K and S. This makes the system seem invisible or inconsequential and illusive while it is in fact a useful and yet a missing economic tool. The fact that economies today are linear and function on R=1 entails that MV=PT in a constant operating system. When the system is changed and made to perform dynamically where R>1 or R=2 this creates a sudden money supply deficit or a sudden deflation of 1/R allowing new resources to be created by S (where S=R) simultaneously allocated to capital and households [Split Velocity]. This restores the balance between money supply and output and as a result takes place at constant price in the new system (R=2 or R>1). Inflation does not take place due to the fact that the velocity of money is split allowing it to move in two directions simultaneously. As R is increased on the basis of split velocity as a technological advancement in the use of emoney output or GDP grows by the same rate within the capacity of the technology paradigm. Ceteris paribus by adjusting an economy by R=2 its GDP will double over the same period namely one year supported by the technology paradigm.

R is by no means simply a multiplicative factor, it is part of an operating system. In other words not only does it affect volume it can be manipulated to do so intelligently by changing the process by which allocation takes place thus creating an inverse relationship between money supply and output that can be exploited to catalyse growth and development equally. The equation is systemic meaning it is like a weaving process, the strands or components of the equation may remain the same or be altered, but what is most significant is that the ‘operating system’ or method of weaving changes. The weaving process in this case is the simultaneous allocation of income or finance to households and capital that keeps the dynamic [money moving in more than one direction simultaneously] economy in balance. If the method of allocation raises the number of transactions per cycle this change creates new levels of efficiency, which in turn lead to higher GDP growth rates over the same period of time.

This means that an economy has at its disposal the CFI or “operating system” – (R) as a formidable tool with which to catalyse productivity other than through the four basic factors: money, price, output and velocity alone. R is the system in which these factors operate. A change in R can create a condition in which the four factors can be controlled to obtain desired economic results without negatively affecting an economy.

Making the invisible aspects of the operating system – R hidden in the Equation of Exchange visible is of immense importance to growth and development and opens up new avenues for eliminating poverty, recession and underdevelopment. Here is a more detailed and step by step introduction to the new catalyst and its equation.

The Stock of Money and Its Behaviour

  1. The real stock of money (M) or hard cash (notes and coins) in an economy is fixed. It cannot rise or fall unless more or less hard cash is introduced. Money supply on the other hand is relative it can rise and fall despite the amount of notes and coins being constant.
  • The way the stock of money behaves however will determine how much money there ‘appears’ to be in an economy. For example, if the velocity of money is two. Though the real stock of money is only 300 bn it will have the impact on the economy of 600 bn (MV). Let us call this the Virtual Stock of Money (Vm).
  • The third factor that influences the stock of money  M and the virtual stock of money Vm is the system in which it operates. The system is determined by the number of transactions per cycle. A cycle is the duration during which a single unit of money performs a single task. If the total stock of available financial resources or a unit of money can only be allocated to one task at a time e.g. producing or consuming, as is the case with the world’s economies today, then it is linear. If money per unit of currency were allowed to move from being linear (one transaction at a time) , that is, either producing or consuming to doing both at the same time then the number of transactions it is capable of performing per cycle would increase by 2 (split velocity) and the system would no longer be linear but dynamic. When (R=2) the Virtual stock of money falls by half or by the value of R.
  • What happens in 3 as a result of a change in the economic system is very important due to the fact that it means an  inverse effect on money supply and GDP takes place. Altering the economic operating system* entails changing it  from 1 transaction per cycle to two transactions per cycle. This increase in efficiency causes the supply of goods and services to rise while money supply falls. This inverse relationship is important. By introducing it between VM and PT it becomes possible to manipulate the economy using the economic operating system to restore the balance. The restoration facilitates a system that enables growth in output. It is something that it is practically impossible to do in a linear economy.

* Note that the operating system or economic operating system (eos) refers to the circular flow of income (CFI) and can be used interchangeably.

  • What happens in 4 is an important development as it means that by altering the CFI or economic operating system (R) governments can shrink the virtual size of money supply and allow it to be optimised , that is, on the dynamic principle [dynamic is two allocations of finance per transaction e.g. to households and capital, rather than just one], which uses this to create new resources for capital (industry) and households. The impact of this discovery is as important to growth and development as the impact of credit creation on investment and opens the door to a whole new net-cash catalyst industry that complements credit creation managed by the banking industry. The catalyst at R=2 is capable of generating new financial resources for eliminating poverty, it is capable of doubling output, doubling productivity, it increases financing available for public works and increases the impact of AID provided by domestic and international agencies. It is capable of putting nations back on track to recovery, economic growth, economic development and a higher general standard of living without some of the harmful consequences of interest rate cuts or utilisation of government reserves to finance public expenditure. It also significantly increases the resources available to banks for credit creation and to domestic and international AID/development agencies for programmes and projects. Furthermore, it significantly increases the dexterity with which central and federal banks can regulate an economy in order to protect it from recession and shocks.
  • When an economic system advances e.g. from being linear [where finance moves in one direction per transaction .i.e. Split Velocity] to being dynamic [finance moves in more than one direction per transaction], the efficiency of money (Em) rises (due to the Virtual stock of money falling thus enabling dynamic allocation). At a constant velocity of money  the work done by a unit of money increases and when this happens the Virtual stock of money appears to shrink. For example, the real stock of money may be 300 bn. This money works at a velocity of 2. The economy behaves as though there is 600 bn circulating through it due to the fact that this money circulates through the economy twice per annum. It therefore sustains a GDP of 600 bn where the general price level is 25 and output is 24 bn.
  • If the economic [operating] system (CFI) changes from being linear to being dynamic , that is, from one transaction per cycle (R=1) to two transactions per cycle (R=2) the virtual stock of money will appear to shrink by half. This is due to money being made more efficient by performing two tasks simultaneously rather than one. This is as a result of a change in the economic system. (To illustrate this, it is like a mule (money) pulling a single cart (number of transactions) over a distance in a pace of time (velocity) required by the market. There is only one mule transporting goods and services (facilitating productivity). The mule is pulling its maximum load. No more transactions can be added to this system otherwise it slows the mule down (deflation) making it too slow to deliver its goods required by the market on time. Neither can another mule (additional money) be added to the same load to speed things up as the cart would arrive at the market before all its goods were ready for sale (inflation). By increasing the work done by money (R=2 transactions per cycle) another cart of equal size and load is harnessed to the mule. The load of productivity becomes too heavy for one mule to pull. This slows it down (making the stock of money shrink (virtual deflation). This alteration makes it possible to introduce another mule (new financial resources created by the operating system) to help tow the two carts at constant price. Now there are two mules pulling two equal loads (split velocity) facilitating twice the level of output (GDP) at the pace required by the market to get the goods there on time). The additional mule harnessed to a dynamic operating system (CFI) creates new resources 300 bn to 600 bn. When this happens the Virtual velocity of money (K) pushes this value up to 1.2 trillion at constant price. This is necessary since the velocity of money flowing in either direction (toward capital and toward households) remains constant at 2. The split in allocation (split velocity) creates two economies functioning simultaneously, namely the capital economy working at a velocity of 2 and the consumer economy working at a velocity of 2. This creates a combined virtual velocity of 4 per annum, however, money is moving only at a velocity of 2 per annum in its respective capital and consumer economies which though fully integrated are separately fueled (by money).  In consideration of the older Fisher Equation even if ‘transactions’ remains constant since money appears to be operating in two economies. This split velocity is extremely important as it keeps the general price level at 25 while output increases from 24 bn to 48 bn. It keeps the velocity of money at 2 (in each economy) allowing the stock of money to grow from 300 bn to 600 bn. This will be reflected by the value K in the equation. A change in the economic [operating] system (CFI) from R=1 (linear) to R=2 (dynamic) will cause the efficiency of output to double from 600 bn GDP per annum to 1.2 trillion GDP over the same period of time at constant price generally allowing a doubling of output in an economy per year.
  • The addition of 300 bn to the real stock of money restores the deficit created by advancing the financial system from R=1 to R=2 (M/E) and this restoration (S) at a constant velocity of money of 2 doubles the output from 24 bn to 48 bn raising GDP from 600 bn to 1.2 trillion over the same period of time. This situation keeps the economy in balance with 1.2 trillion VM servicing 1.2 trillion GDP. The dynamic economy or dynamic operating system is in this case twice as efficient, twice as productive, twice as able to provide and twice as stable as the linear economy. When the system remains linear, that is, R=1, as the world’s economies are today, then GDP growth rates will be encouraged to balance at zero. In other words linear economies are designed to remain stagnant [this stagnance or lack of growth is why a linear economy is referred to as a “zero growth economy”] To grow they must rely on cost plus pricing, more on which is discussed later. This is why they annually produce such poor levels of output that economies and economists have become accustomed to. To overcome stagnation industry and households have to ‘overwork’ themselves or use surplus efficiency to survive. The result is a salvaged annual GDP that often resides between a paltry 0-10% per annum. When GDP accelerates to levels as high as 65% as observed in some oil producing countries as a result of oil, the economy is not inherently designed to distribute wealth equally between capital households thus leading to growth without development, that is, growth while poverty levels remain high. This causes adverse or artificial scarcity from which present day poverty and its plethora of socio-economic problems arise. The switch from a linear to a dynamic operating system at (R=2) doubles the level of financing in an economy, ceteris paribus, allowing a doubling of GDP over the same period of time. It means that the US economy has the potential to grow from US$12.5 trillion in GDP (IMF 2005) to US$25 trillion in one year ceteris paribus; the US government may not need all these resources and may not need the economy to grow this quickly and could instead capture the percentage of these resources it felt was required for its population and needs. It means that the South African government has the potential to make the South African economy grow from US$240bn (IMF 2005) to US$480 bn a year. It means that the EU could make its economy grow from US$13.5 trillion (IMF 2005) to US$27  trillion in a year.  It means that the Zambian government cold make the Zambian economy grow from US$7.3 bn to (IMF 2005) to US$14.6 bn in a year. Since this Operating Level Economics (OLE) .i.e. circular flow of Income economic method acts as a catalyst this growth is natural allowing the economy to expand the same way it would if left to itself except in a much shorter duration of time. There is no hocus-pocus involved. Nations are in this case no longer limited by the linear operating system’s implosionary limitations [limitations caused by subtraction] and losses that lead to very low annual growth rates. They can grow much faster and at a rate that they deem fitting. Any well managed linear economy can increase GDP in this way without breaking a sweat due to the fact that it is already operating at level required to do so only implosion [subtraction in the CFI] dissipates the potential output it should naturally have access to. Dynamic allocation naturalises or balances productivity and output that implosion [subtraction in the CFI] in a linear economy has kept persistently unequal. When economies become dynamic [more than one allocation of finance per transaction] they acquire a rate of growth that they should have been exposed to all along. Artificial scarcity and the problems it creates are no longer a limit to what governments can achieve for betterment of their people. If the US government felt that it needed to grow by only 36% more in a year to create enough productivity within the US economy to wipe out industrial stagnance, squalor in inner cities, poverty, unemployment and create a general standard of living in line with government policy then the US Federal Reserve Bank would regulate the economy to R=1.36 rather than the full R=2.  In other words it would capture only 36% of its total potential to grow in that year as allowing growth by the remaining 64% may be considered too excessive or extravagant for the existing population. A balance is thus found that avoids the problems caused by adverse scarcity and adverse surpluses. For African nations trying to find sustainable resources for projects like NEPAD transforming from a linear to dynamic operating system provides an alternative route to sustainable development and development financing. In this case governments are in a better position due to the fact that they control the availability of resources rather than being controlled for the worse by artificial scarcity, which is averse to socio-economic development.
  • Finally, the new equation for money moves on from the monetarist Fisher Equation:

MV=PT

To the new Punabantu Equation of Exchange:

Where R=E=K=S R is the economic [operating] system in which Money (M), Velocity of money (V), Price (P) and Output (Y) function. The values R=E=K=S in the equation [above] remain equal. Money Supply M has to be multiplied by whatever it is made to virtually shrink by 1/E. In this case money supply is made to shrink by the economic system R=2 therefore the real stock of money has to be increased by the proportionate value of R which is represented as S otherwise there will be a deficit in the real stock of money M. However, this increase takes place on an alternate velocity thus causing no change in the general price level, but rather the alternate side effect, that is, an increase in growth. To prove this S can be cancelled out by R in the equation (also using a concept of mechanical efficiency) due to the fact that though money supply is doubled (from 300 bn to 600 bn) to facilitate productivity in the restructured economic [operating] system its virtual value remains 300 bn due to the fact that it does not change along the same velocity. This is an important benefit of dynamic allocation. M is a real quantity while R, its common denominator, is a virtual one determined by the mechanical level of efficiency present in the economy (R=2). Modern economies are linear systems (R=1). Any attempts to increase money supply will lead to an increase in the general price level (inflation). The dynamic economy therefore offers new hope to ailing economies as a catalyst with which to boost productivity and consumption equally without using external resources. It is also a new tool by which to increase and accelerate annual GDP growth rates and bring an end to poverty, unemployment, stagnation and economic instability.

The equation satisfies both Monetarist and Keynesian schools of thought in that it creates new resources in S to catalyze productivity and yet the increase has no impact on inflation due to the fact that it is cancelled out by 1/E. K,V,S and E become constants. K is representative of the fact that money flowing to consumers (households) and capital (raw materials, equipment, repayment of loans etc.) does so at the same velocity (V), however, they take place simultaneously creating a Virtual Velocity (Vv) of 4 (Vv=KV=2×2) seen by a dual economy delivering financing output at the same velocity, but at double the volume (two carts: split velocity). The change in R from R=1 to R=2 causes money supply to shrink (M/E) making it necessary to restore its value by S; (MS/E) This works fine since it allows the stock of money to double and yet appear to remain the same (adding another mule). Doubling goes hand in hand with it being allocated equally and simultaneously to capital and households creating the R=2 economy (doubling the load by adding an additional cart) in which growth and development rise equally rather than one above or before the other. The increase in productive efficiency allows the stock of goods to increase by YR rather than just Y over the same period of time (1 year).

In terms of the efficiency of money an economy shrinks by M/E and must be restored to MS by S were as the inverse occurs and output grows by YR where R=S.

The economic system R (the number of transactions per cycle) is  a non-obtrusive catalyst. It acts inversely on money and output by increasing the rate of productivity that lowers money supply allowing it to be expanded while making it possible for producers to expand output. This allows economic expansion (growth + development) to take place rather than one at the expense of the other. This is a significant improvement in economic management.

MONETARY THEORY & ACCELERATED GROWTH IN A NUT SHELL

OLE theory states that, ceteris paribus, every economy at any point in time contains within its economic operating system the latent financial resources with which to double its GDP in one year at constant price. Therefore, economies are capable of geometric gains in growth as opposed to the linear gains in GDP observed today.

The Fisher Equation and Punabantu Equation

The Fisher Equation is as follows:

MV=PT

This is an identity, where basically:
M- money supply

V-velocity of money

T-total number of transactions made over a period of time e.g. 1 year

P- general price level

T in the Fisher Equation is not ordinarily linked to output due to the linear economy’s disposition toward zero growth; therefore, an increase in transactions as it is with an increase in money supply in a linear economy will be limited by implosion [subtraction in the CFI] and not necessarily lead to an increase in output. However, in a dynamic economy T, which functions on a different growth principle based on split velocity  is equated directly to output and is therefore converted to Y or an index value of the physical volume of output in the economy. Therefore, PY in the equation as will be seen to correspond with GDP.

Moving from the Fisher Equation to the Punabantu Equation: The new identity and complete Equation of Exchange, which includes the system in which money functions is as follows:

Where

R – operating system

S – emoney multiplier

E – emoney constrictor

K – virtual velocity

Y – output of goods and services

S,E and K are working parts of the operating system dependent on R where R=E=K=S

If R=1 in the above equation this reduces it to the original Fisher Equation MV=PT silencing R,E, K and S. This makes the operating system seem invisible or inconsequential and illusive while it is in fact a useful and a yet missing economic tool in growth and development. The fact that economies today are linear and function on R=1 entails that MV=PT in a linear operating system and T rather than Y should be used in the equation.

The annual rate at which output grows (GDP) is determined by the operating system and the technology paradigm (organisation of human skills and capital to create a desired level of productivity.)

Where M=300, Velocity=2, P=US$25, Y=24 bn

If the economy is linear as it is with economies today then R=1 therefore growth does not benefit from the operating system’s accelerant . For example: .

PYR=25x24x1= US$600bn, Therefore, GDP is US$600 bn for the year

If the operating system is used to double growth over 1 year, that is, R=2

PYR= 25x24x2 = US$ 1,200 bn over the same period; therefore GDP has the potential to double to US$1,200 over the same period.

This accelerated growth takes place at constant price:

.i.e. P=KV(MS/E)/YR= 1,200/24×2=US$25

Accelerated growth is geometric allowing doubling to take place each consecutive year; significantly shortening the pace at which development occurs.

Hence, using the new Punabantu Equation of Exchange, as demonstrated in the equation above by the doubling of GDP from $600bn to $1,200 bn in one year, where the price level remains constant at $25, it is verified mathematically that an economy can finance the doubling of its GDP in one year at constant price. The new equation of exchange confers sovereign economic status on an economy as it allows a domestic currency to be minted and introduced into circulation where instead of generating inflation it acts as a stimulus for growth and development. It allows governments to grow their economies until productivity is on par with the needs of a given population.

[Note that doubling time (the rate of economic growth each year) does not have to be fully applied. It can be applied by percentage anywhere between 0% – 100%. The pace at which an economy can grow is determined by its technology paradigm.]

Discerning if Innovation and Technology adds Value to Precious Metals

8th June 2020

Siize Punabantu

SV-Tech makes gold and other precious metals like copper more valuable.

The options for maintaining price stability being observed here are innovation and technology (e.g. SV-Tech) as opposed to precious metal (e.g. gold). Which is the most useful?

If you have performed the Instruction Set for a Legally Admissible Empirical Test for Split Velocity then you have successfully evaluated Split Velocity by way of empirical test.

Let us now compare SV-Tech (Split Velocity) to Purchasing Gold as a means of maintaining price stability.

The Instruction Set for the Empirical Test revealed a money supply deficit equivalent to GDP [-(B+C)] caused by subtraction. It was further noted that this represented a correction of money supply and not an increase in money supply. Therefore, this enables a correction equivalent in domestic currency value to GDP at constant price.

This means that the empirical test shows that the Split Velocity system is able to support, hold or maintain the Zambian exchange rate, for example US$1 to K5 or US$1 to K1 by the equivalent of GDP per annum or US$25.8 billion in 2018. In essence SV-Tech allows a domestic currency to behave like and gain many of the attributes of a hard currency, a system that has never been possible prior to SV-Tech or achieved before in central banking history. In fact, even in terms of the scalar increase of money supply, an IMF reserve currency cannot be used to increase money supply in this way at constant price (without inflation). Furthermore, the supply of gold cannot be increased on a scalar level, at constant price (because the price of gold would fall as a result of over supply). In this regard a Split Velocity system outperforms both gold and hard currency, a feat currently regarded as impossible or improbable. Consequently, where credibility and currency stability are concerned it even outperforms the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) reserve currency system presently in use by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which is much weaker than a Split Velocity system.

SV-Tech is at the very cutting edge of the Fintech space. The SDR system was introduced in 1969, a period when emoney, internet banking, debit and credit cards, cryptocurrencies and tech based financial innovations did not exist, therefore it should come as no surprise that innovations in the Fintech space will inevitably evolve that can achieve the same objectives as the SDR and that encourage a more inclusive approach to how currencies are managed and appraised. At the technical level, the fact that it can be demonstrated that where price stability, economic strength and reliability are concerned, a currency managed using a Split Velocity model outperforms a currency in the SDR system should be good news in that it complies with the merits for which the SDR system was created and exists in the first place. This development will allow for less discrimination when it comes to how domestic currencies are viewed.

For any central bank in the world, to be able to back its domestic currency with the same strength as a Split Velocity system it would have to be able to purchase and hold gold per annum equivalent to its annual national GDP. (To add some perspective to this, not even the United States Federal Reserve Bank has the capacity to back the US dollar at this level, to do this, it would have to upgrade to a Split Velocity System).

This means that for the central bank to be able to back the Zambian kwacha and exchange rate with the same capacity as Split Velocity, it would have to purchase and hold US$25.8 billion worth of gold and maintain the equivalent in GDP in gold as a reserve. ZCCM-IH and mines in general in Zambia are unable to produce this much gold, and even if they could produce and supply it, government could simply not afford to buy it all.

In addition to this, depending on market conditions, the price of gold rises and falls forcing a central bank to ride unpredictable trends, whereas a Split Velocity system maintains price stability even while economic conditions rise and fall. A Split Velocity model, when used to manage a national economy, is not subject to economic indicators, rather, economic indicators are subservient to a Split Velocity model. For instance, it does not wait to see what economic growth will be experienced, it sets and guarantees the growth rate.

Frankly, when it comes to price and financial system stability, gold and other precious metals need Split Velocity to maintain and sustain their value by sustaining higher levels of economic growth and maintaining a stable national economy. When it comes to financial system stability, this is one condition in which innovation is the more advantageous option.

Its important to understand that natural resources and mineral wealth are not a panacea for economic growth and national prosperity, the thought and strategy must delve much deeper and move far beyond this obstacle by appreciating that any price stability or grandiose economic benefit that any precious mineral like gold or other natural resource could deliver for the country would have already been delivered by copper, by now. There is a need to push beyond these limitations with the understanding that some countries with no natural resources have industrialized and formulate a strategy that scrutinizes the operational structure of the systems in place by which development objectives are achieved.

To discover minerals such as gold and other precious minerals is always beneficial to a country and its people and should receive as much attention and support as possible. An innovation like split Velocity ensures that gains from discovering and exploiting mineral resources are protected by a stable financial system where the demand for mineral resources being supplied by mining companies is kept robust by healthy levels of guaranteed annual growth. We live in a technical age in which innovations like SV-Tech represent safe hands when it comes to the direction to take towards creating a better life and a better world for the youth, without leaving anyone behind.

Mining and precious minerals are cardinal to development, have their uses and should be invested in, nevertheless, for a central bank, anywhere in the world, purchasing gold as a way of trying to maintain financial system stability, is in no uncertain terms, simply no comparison whatsoever to deploying a Split Velocity system.

The raw power, dynamic capacity for growth and agility of finance in a Split Velocity system means that any country managed on this system can enjoy the benefits of a domestic currency that performs at the same level of stability and reliability as that of a hard currency backed by a fully industrialized economy and with less of the kind of volatility seen in the currencies of developing economies.

The mechanisms it innovates to be able to do this are fairly easy to demonstrate.

When reference is made to a need to advance the knowledge paradigm in economics, finance, accounting and business it should be emphasized that retraining is required to understand the counter-intuitive processes of a Split Velocity system. For instance, if a student graduated today they would still be trained to believe the CFI is efficient and lossless. However, the empirical test for Split Velocity clearly shows that the CFI is dysfunctional and inefficient in a manner anyone, even laypersons, can see and understand, and it is creating monetary and fiscal instability, makes global poverty inherently unmanageable as well as costing governments billions of dollars.

Similarly, the generic tutelage in finance is that an increase in money supply will cause inflation, or the over supply of any product such as gold will cause a drop in price. If a student graduated from university today this is what they would believe. However, we can provide an empirical test to teach and demonstrate, even to laypersons, that a Split Velocity model allows increases in money supply to take place at constant price. Instead of inflation the economy experiences the inverse, that is, economic growth. No currency in the world today, not even that of industrialized nations or even a precious metal can maintain price stability in this way. This is very important for developing countries because it means in a Split Velocity system the domestic currency can technically perform more efficiently than any present day reserve currency belonging to an industrialized nation.

These are just the facts. Developing countries should not believe they are trapped by poverty and circumstance. Prosperity belongs to all nations and all people, not just a select few. The knowledge paradigm is key.

Most importantly, by acting diligently and expediently, this means that it is possible today to guarantee the youth a future without uncertainty, with opportunity and economic independence, not as a lofty or empty promise, but with a working strategy that will deliver within this generation.

See table comparing SDR to Split Velocity

A Split-Velocity Model is more efficient than a Gold Standard and more powerful than Monetary Policy currently in use by central banks 

 Split-Velocity Solutions, Outreach 1st February 2019

To begin with anyone familiar with central banking history will know that there was a time that central banks kept gold in their vaults to back the value of currency in circulation. However, the gold standard was inevitably discarded for the simple fact that the value of gold may itself fluctuate over time, furthermore a system like this restricts a central bank’s capacity to issue new notes and coins to the availability of gold and can be quite costly to manage especially when a government needs to apply monetary policy to manage growth in an economy.

The gold standard was abandoned for good reason. Instead of measuring the value of a local currency against gold, central banks today instead monitor natural fluctuations in economic growth and increase or reduce money supply. This controls inflation levels and maintains the stability of a local currency. But as can be observed in Zambia where in the past few years the value of the Kwacha has fallen from US$1 – ZMK8 to US$1-ZMK12. This system is not perfect. In fact, it doesn’t really work, simply due to the fact that the Zambian Kwacha, in this system, is indexed against the natural propensity for the economy to grow over a period of time. Consequently, any shocks to the economy, such as drought, electricity deficits, a drop in copper prices, fall in forex reserves will hammer the value of the Kwacha and BOZ will be forced to ride these trends. It will only be able to mitigate against them using monetary policy, which is why the Kwacha must inevitably lose value as a buffer against declining economic performance. Put simply this places BOZ at the mercy of trends in the economy since the value of the Kwacha in the current system is indexed against economic performance, in the same way that a fall in the international gold price would affect local currency were it on the gold standard. Furthermore, increases in money supply using monetary policy must be supported by economic growth. In other words before BOZ can increase money supply it must first observe an increase in productivity or output in the economy.

Why Split Velocity technology is more valuable than the Gold Standard and more efficient than conventional Monetary Policy

The Gold Standard limits the capacity to back a national currency to the volume of gold held in the vaults of a reserve bank, the price of gold and other economic factors. Monetary policy limits a government’s capacity to back its national currency to the economic performance which can be quite poor when growth in GDP is minimal as is common in today’s economies. A Split-Velocity model backs a government’s national currency with economic value equivalent to 100% of GDP. Neither the Gold Standard nor current Monetary Policy come anywhere near this kind of strength and stability. Consequently governments are better able to and have the resources at hand to withstand shocks to the economy and easily counter shocks that would push an economy into recession. Whether these shocks are caused by natural disasters such as floods, earthquakes or are technical such as shortages of electricity, unemployment and poverty that governments may have trouble resolving today a Split-Velocity model on the other hand will be able to thenceforth counter these kinds of economic shocks with relative ease giving central banks the tools they need to support government.

A Split-Velocity Model is the first system or technology that allows central banks to control economic outcomes. For instance, whereas the Gold Standard is limited by the value of gold and amounts of it held in reserve; and Monetary Policy is dictated to by natural trends in economic growth over time, a Split Velocity model is not as weak or redundant as any of these approaches. It does not wait for a “price level” to be set by economic trends such as a natural growth of 3% experienced by the economy in one year. A Split Velocity model can allow a central bank to stimulate growth at constant price anywhere between 0 to 100% of GDP in one year. In other words, the central bank does not wait to see how the economy will perform, it now dictates how fast it wants that economy to grow over a given time frame.

This is unique in that no other technology/system offers central banks this kind of power over an economy. Mediocre natural growth rates such as 3% or 6% are now thrown out the window as the central bank can now harness as much as 100% of an economy’s capacity to grow over time [due to ending inefficiencies causing losses as a result of subtraction or implosion in the circular flow of income]. Since the central bank now controls the growth rate, it is no longer at the mercy of economic indicators, it now dictates them and can raise or slow down economic growth at will. Consequently, it now has near perfect control of the value of the national currency. For the Bank of Zambia, this means that the Zambian government, for the first time in Zambia’s history, would have at its disposal enough financial resources to end poverty in Zambia in just a few years. This is why we have made a submission to the Bank of Zambia for the introduction of a Split-Velocity system in Zambia.

This makes a Split Velocity Model more valuable than a Gold Standard when it comes to managing a national economy. It also means a Split Velocity Model or system is far more powerful, efficient, effective and advanced than any aspect of Monetary Policy currently being used by the Bank of Zambia [or any central bank in the world today for that matter] to manage a national economy.

When countries begin to upgrade to Split Velocity you’d best be prepared, because it will be like splitting the atom

In my previous article we explored how ChatGPT describes Split Velocity as belonging to a Type III or higher “super-civilization”. This is ascribed on the basis of a Split Velocity economic model doubling every 3 years. ChatGPT is, in this regard accurate. Nevertheless doubling every “3” years is a modest use or assessment of Split Velocity which boasts the capacity to reduce doubling time to one year.

Therefore, when it comes to Split Velocity it is possible that a weak AI will tell you that doubling GDP in one year is impossible, can never happen or is a fantasy. However, this answer is produced because the language model it is using is backward, incomplete or uninformed and making this analysis from the vantage point of the limitations of a zero growth “extinction” model. Therefore, the AI answer is spreading misinformation. Let’s explain why.

The truth is that a Split Velocity model can double any country’s GDP in 1 year, at constant price as stated in the book “The Greater Poverty & Wealth of Nations”. This is accurate. It means that its potency potentially makes it even more advanced and more powerful than the accurate ChatGPT evaluation.

The manner in which an economy grows is not linear as is presumed by most people. For example, look at how long it takes to fill a [hot air] balloon with air or large inflatable swimming pool floatation device. If the balloon or floatation device is a county’s GDP and money supply is the air or gas used to fill it up, the general assumption or logic applied for how to determine how quickly an economy can grow is that the air enters the skirt or orifice of the balloon and it consequently begins to expand in a linear fashion. Hence, GDP growth is presumed to be very slow.

However, this analysis is inaccurate. An economy is like millions of tiny balloons of varying sizes put together to create one balloon. Each of these tiny balloons is a firm engaged in some form of productivity. Each of these tiny balloons or firms is like a cell in a living organism. When this balloon is inflated each tiny balloon receives air or gas directly (money supply) and equally (at the same pressure) at its nozzle, commensurate with its size. This causes the whole balloon not to inflate gradually over a long period of time (in a linear fashion), but to inflate (gain turgidity) instantly.

Hence, when a Split Velocity model stimulates growth it uses this process to double GDP, in one year (what can be described as almost instantly compared to a zero growth economic model). This rapid growth can also be likened to rapidly inflating a tyre by lighting an accelerant. When applied economy wide the expansion is dynamic not linear. This rapid capacity for growth is not only possible in terms of money supply and productivity, but can also be demonstrated mechanically using physics, just as the Two Cups explanation used water and two cups to demonstrate how Split Velocity works. The capacity of an economy to double in size in one year, is dependent on the technology paradigm. The technology paradigm allows for doubling time to occur within 1 year, when a Split Velocity model is functioning “normally”. [Irrespective of the size of the economy]

Nevertheless, it should be noted that the economics applied to the management of countries by governments today, the world over, is not based on Split Velocity, but a zero growth or extinction model. It must be noted that this dangerous and inadequate model with an ill designed CFI currently hovers over 8 billion people on the 3rd rock from the sun, placing them in mortal danger, at greater risk than any other natural or man made phenomenon, including climate change. Even if climate change were brought under control the zero growth model currently in use in every country in the world that is already hurting humanity by creating artificially high levels of scarcity, is inevitably incapable of supporting human beings on earth neither is it naturally capable of providing them the resources with which leave earth en masse, it is called an extinction model for a good reason.

The technology paradigm of the current zero growth model is also backward and starved of resources by an inefficient circular flow of income (CFI). When the upgrade of an economy is made to a Split Velocity model, the technology paradigm must also be given time to upgrade from a backward zero growth model, that has been applied for the past 250 years, to that of a Split Velocity model where the technology applied to money supply is supported by a likewise advanced productivity system and associated technologies referred to as the technology paradigm.

Initially a Split Velocity model will allow doubling time to take place in 1 year, however, inevitably the technology paradigm will advance to where doubling time is 9 months, and even eventually 6 months. This level of advancement may include the ability to move around and terraform planets, making them immediately habitable and then print entire cities into existence from CGI blueprints, architectural and building technologies what would sound like fantasy or science fiction to people today. It is too early in this day and age to fully fathom what kind of technologies will have evolved at this period in the future that support such rapid growth, which may include a heavy reliance on teleportation. Remember the rule of 72 applies to this process (an economy growing at a rate of 72% will double in 1 year ( Remember a simple Split Velocity model is capable of a growth rate of 100% per annum, whereas the rule of 72 states doubling time will take place at 72%), which is more efficient than requiring a rate of 100% to double in 1 year.

After 250 years of relentless toil humanity is underperforming, it is not yet even a Type I civilization on the Kardashev scale, this is largely due to the fact that human civilization is currently deploying a zero growth economy, that traps the majority of humanity on earth (in terms of its incapacity to sufficiently finance propulsion research and technology). Humanity is currently also trapped on earth and made naturally prone to extinction by the zero growth economy’s inability to solve the problem of scarcity. However, as has been identified by ChatGPT Split Velocity advances humanity’s understanding of economics to that of a civilization higher than Type 3, we can say potentially to a Type 5 civilization.

Technically, by operating on an economy designed for a Type 5 civilization, humanity is then guaranteed to able to use economics today to cross a resource “singularity” that allows it to move from facing inevitable extinction due to lacking economic knowledge and power to instead having the knowledge and resources to drive towards a future where it transcends the earth and emerges as a successful space faring civilization on the path to becoming a “super civilization”.

[It should be noted, that even where an economy can reduce doubling time to 1 year, this is like the maximum speed indicated on a car’s speedometer. Just because the speedometer shows a max speed of 280Kmh does not mean the car is required to always be driven at that speed]

Zero growth model [Extinction model]: An economic model with zero or very low growth rates incapable of sustaining the populations it serves, in the long term.